Now, after global financial crisis, we all know what are black swans. People think they cant happen, but when they do, we make them more probable. Recently I read a paper from Eliezer Yudkowsky, which lists more example of biases we certainly use.
I highly recommend reading it.
Cognitive Biases Potentially Affecting Judgment of Global Risks
China's Coal Imports Dip 6% As Local Prices Slump
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